Institute vs Glentoran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
41.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
BAL
2 - 3
INS
35%
26%
40%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
INS
1 - 4
GLE
34%
26%
41%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2014 |
BAL
2 - 1
INS
53%
23%
24%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
INS
1 - 0
WAR
70%
19%
12%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2014 |
INS
2 - 0
DOL
63%
21%
17%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Glentoran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
BAL
2 - 2
GLE
40%
26%
34%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
GLE
2 - 0
COL
64%
22%
14%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2014 |
GLE
1 - 1
POR
44%
25%
31%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
CRU
1 - 0
GLE
63%
21%
16%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2014 |
MOY
1 - 2
GLE
13%
20%
68%
|
67 | 44 | 23 | 0 |