Institute vs Glentoran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
59.5%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2012 |
INS
2 - 0
LAR
63%
21%
16%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
INS
1 - 0
LIM
46%
25%
29%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2012 |
DER
1 - 1
INS
55%
23%
23%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
INS
1 - 0
BAN
61%
22%
17%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2012 |
INS
3 - 2
TOB
59%
22%
19%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Glentoran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
CRU
2 - 0
GLE
52%
24%
25%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2012 |
BAL
1 - 1
GLE
36%
26%
39%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
GLE
3 - 0
LIS
75%
17%
8%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
GLE
0 - 0
COL
43%
26%
31%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
DUN
1 - 3
GLE
27%
25%
48%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | +1 |