Institute vs Glentoran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
46.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2005 |
INS
0 - 1
LIN
27%
25%
48%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2005 |
DUN
3 - 0
INS
50%
24%
26%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2005 |
INS
3 - 0
LAR
53%
24%
23%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2005 |
INS
1 - 2
ARD
56%
23%
21%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2005 |
NEW
4 - 1
INS
40%
26%
34%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Glentoran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2005 |
GLE
2 - 0
LIM
59%
23%
18%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2005 |
COL
1 - 2
GLE
47%
24%
29%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2005 |
GLE
2 - 0
LOU
73%
18%
9%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2005 |
COL
0 - 1
GLE
47%
25%
29%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2005 |
LIN
0 - 3
GLE
51%
23%
25%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |