Institute vs Glenavon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
41%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2014 |
BAL
2 - 1
INS
53%
23%
24%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
INS
1 - 0
WAR
70%
19%
12%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2014 |
INS
2 - 0
DOL
63%
21%
17%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
INS
1 - 1
LIN
21%
24%
56%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
INS
2 - 3
CLI
21%
24%
55%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2014 |
GLE
1 - 0
BAL
78%
14%
8%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2014 |
GLE
2 - 1
BAL
59%
21%
20%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2014 |
GLE
3 - 1
LIS
83%
11%
6%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
CLI
3 - 3
GLE
66%
20%
14%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
GLE
0 - 2
DUN
77%
14%
9%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | -1 |