Institute vs Dungannon Swifts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
35.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2020 |
LIN
3 - 0
INS
80%
14%
6%
|
52 | 76 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2019 |
INS
0 - 3
CAR
36%
26%
38%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2019 |
INS
0 - 1
WAR
58%
22%
20%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
DUN
2 - 2
INS
49%
24%
28%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
INS
1 - 4
GLE
20%
22%
58%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2020 |
DUN
0 - 2
GLE
19%
24%
57%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2019 |
CRU
5 - 0
DUN
86%
11%
4%
|
53 | 77 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2019 |
GLE
5 - 0
DUN
69%
19%
12%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
DUN
2 - 2
INS
49%
24%
28%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
BAL
3 - 2
DUN
70%
18%
12%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |