Institute vs Dungannon Swifts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
38.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
INS
2 - 2
BAL
41%
27%
32%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2010 |
INS
1 - 4
CLI
21%
26%
53%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
CLI
3 - 0
INS
71%
19%
11%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2010 |
BMF
0 - 1
INS
29%
25%
46%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
INS
1 - 1
BMF
54%
24%
22%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
DUN
4 - 4
POR
39%
24%
38%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2010 |
COL
2 - 0
DUN
61%
21%
19%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
CRU
2 - 3
DUN
60%
22%
18%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
LIS
2 - 5
DUN
38%
28%
34%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2010 |
NEW
4 - 0
DUN
43%
27%
30%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |