Institute vs Dungannon Swifts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.9%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
13.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2001 |
INS
4 - 4
CAR
65%
20%
15%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2001 |
BAN
0 - 1
INS
45%
25%
31%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2001 |
INS
1 - 2
LIS
41%
25%
34%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2001 |
LAR
1 - 1
INS
35%
25%
40%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2001 |
INS
0 - 1
ARC
54%
23%
23%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2001 |
BAL
4 - 3
DUN
48%
24%
28%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2001 |
DUN
0 - 0
LIM
60%
22%
19%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2001 |
DUN
1 - 1
CAR
61%
20%
19%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2001 |
BAN
1 - 0
DUN
61%
22%
17%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2001 |
DUN
0 - 1
LIS
33%
25%
42%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | -1 |