Institute vs Donegal Celtic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
18.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2007 |
LIS
0 - 0
INS
66%
21%
14%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2007 |
INS
1 - 0
DUN
37%
27%
36%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
BAL
2 - 1
INS
54%
24%
22%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
INS
1 - 1
ARC
52%
25%
24%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2007 |
POR
2 - 1
INS
70%
18%
12%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Donegal Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2007 |
DON
1 - 2
LIS
18%
23%
60%
|
52 | 72 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
DON
0 - 2
BAL
31%
26%
43%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2007 |
ARC
1 - 1
DON
53%
24%
23%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
DON
0 - 1
POR
20%
24%
56%
|
53 | 72 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
LIN
2 - 0
DON
78%
15%
7%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | -1 |