Institute vs Dergview FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
47.1%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
4º
6º
6º
41
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
3º
|
41 | 9 |
1º
|
50.5% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 8 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 8 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
1º
|
53 | 7 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 6 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
36 | 2 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2023 |
HAR
3 - 1
INS
70%
18%
13%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
KNO
3 - 2
INS
32%
24%
45%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
KNO
2 - 3
INS
31%
24%
45%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2023 |
INS
0 - 2
BAL
31%
25%
45%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -2 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
INS
0 - 1
HAR
27%
25%
48%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Dergview FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
DER
2 - 0
HAR
28%
25%
47%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
WAR
3 - 0
DER
64%
20%
17%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
DER
2 - 3
DUN
30%
25%
45%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
LOU
0 - 1
DER
70%
18%
12%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
INS
2 - 2
DER
41%
25%
34%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |