Institute vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.8%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.7%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.7%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.8%
74.4%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
14.2%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.2%
0-3
10.7%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
15.1%
0-4
6%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
WAR
4 - 0
INS
43%
24%
33%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
INS
0 - 2
GLE
51%
25%
24%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
INS
0 - 2
WAR
49%
23%
28%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2019 |
NEW
1 - 2
INS
30%
25%
45%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2018 |
GLE
3 - 3
INS
69%
18%
13%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
CRU
0 - 1
LIN
47%
24%
29%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2019 |
NEW
0 - 1
CRU
7%
15%
78%
|
76 | 55 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
CRU
4 - 1
GLE
80%
14%
6%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2019 |
CRU
3 - 2
BAL
56%
23%
22%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2018 |
GLE
0 - 1
CRU
10%
17%
73%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | +1 |