Institute vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
45%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
INS
2 - 3
LIS
48%
26%
26%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2010 |
GLE
2 - 1
INS
72%
18%
10%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2010 |
COL
1 - 1
INS
77%
15%
8%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2010 |
NEW
0 - 0
INS
52%
24%
24%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
GLE
2 - 1
INS
56%
22%
23%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
CRU
4 - 1
NEW
65%
20%
15%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2010 |
POR
1 - 0
CRU
56%
22%
22%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
CRU
1 - 1
POR
38%
23%
39%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2010 |
CRU
3 - 0
GLE
67%
19%
14%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2010 |
LIN
2 - 0
CRU
62%
22%
16%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |