Institute vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
21%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2005 |
POR
4 - 0
INS
70%
18%
12%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2005 |
INS
3 - 0
BMF
73%
17%
11%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2004 |
LIM
5 - 1
INS
52%
23%
24%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2004 |
INS
0 - 1
OMA
62%
21%
17%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2004 |
INS
1 - 3
LIS
36%
27%
37%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2005 |
CRU
1 - 1
LAR
51%
25%
25%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2005 |
OMA
0 - 1
CRU
63%
20%
17%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2005 |
DUN
0 - 0
CRU
62%
21%
17%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2005 |
CRU
1 - 1
COL
30%
26%
44%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2004 |
CRU
0 - 2
CLI
49%
26%
25%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |