Institute vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
18%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2002 |
GLE
3 - 1
INS
52%
24%
24%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2002 |
INS
1 - 0
LIN
31%
26%
43%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2002 |
INS
0 - 0
OMA
43%
24%
33%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2002 |
GLE
4 - 1
INS
71%
18%
11%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2002 |
CAR
0 - 3
INS
29%
26%
45%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2002 |
CRU
0 - 3
OMA
41%
25%
34%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2002 |
GLE
4 - 0
CRU
66%
20%
13%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2002 |
CRU
0 - 0
COL
33%
24%
43%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2002 |
ARD
2 - 2
CRU
44%
26%
30%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2002 |
NEW
0 - 1
CRU
52%
25%
23%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |