Institute vs Coleraine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
56.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2019 |
BAL
6 - 1
INS
72%
16%
11%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
LIN
2 - 0
INS
76%
15%
8%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
CLI
1 - 0
INS
60%
21%
19%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
INS
2 - 0
DUN
33%
27%
40%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +2 |
| 15 Feb. 2019 |
ARD
0 - 3
INS
28%
24%
49%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Coleraine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2019 |
NEW
1 - 4
COL
12%
22%
67%
|
71 | 50 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
COL
0 - 4
BAL
45%
26%
29%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2019 |
LAR
3 - 5
COL
40%
24%
36%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
COL
2 - 0
GLE
62%
23%
16%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2019 |
CRU
4 - 2
COL
61%
22%
18%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |