Institute vs Coleraine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.4%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.2%
47.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2018 |
LIN
5 - 0
INS
70%
18%
12%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
WAR
0 - 1
INS
34%
24%
42%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2018 |
NEW
0 - 2
INS
35%
26%
39%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
INS
1 - 2
BAL
33%
27%
40%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2018 |
ARD
0 - 1
INS
33%
25%
43%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Coleraine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2018 |
GLE
3 - 3
COL
24%
24%
53%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
COL
1 - 2
CLI
51%
25%
24%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
COL
1 - 0
CRU
27%
24%
50%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
CON
2 - 0
COL
44%
25%
31%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -2 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
COL
1 - 4
GLE
38%
25%
37%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |