Institute vs Coleraine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
60.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2018 |
INS
2 - 1
KNO
57%
24%
19%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
INS
0 - 0
NEW
42%
27%
31%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2018 |
INS
1 - 0
PSN
60%
23%
17%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
PSN
2 - 3
INS
27%
24%
49%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
KNO
0 - 2
INS
28%
23%
49%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Coleraine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2018 |
COL
2 - 2
LIN
48%
25%
27%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
GLE
0 - 2
COL
25%
29%
47%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
COL
3 - 3
CRU
41%
25%
34%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
DUN
0 - 1
COL
27%
27%
47%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
COL
7 - 0
LIS
80%
15%
6%
|
72 | 45 | 27 | 0 |