Institute vs Coleraine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
35.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
IFC
3 - 0
INS
14%
20%
66%
|
57 | 11 | 46 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2009 |
INS
0 - 2
GLE
21%
25%
55%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2009 |
BAN
2 - 2
INS
50%
24%
26%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2008 |
DUN
1 - 1
INS
52%
24%
24%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
GLE
1 - 3
INS
44%
26%
30%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Coleraine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
COL
3 - 0
ARD
70%
17%
12%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2009 |
COL
2 - 1
DUN
58%
23%
20%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2009 |
NEW
0 - 4
COL
50%
25%
25%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2008 |
BAL
2 - 0
COL
51%
25%
24%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
CLI
3 - 0
COL
55%
24%
21%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |