Institute vs Cliftonville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
29.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2005 |
LIS
4 - 1
INS
64%
21%
16%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2005 |
INS
1 - 2
POR
26%
25%
50%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2005 |
COL
2 - 5
INS
66%
19%
14%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2005 |
INS
1 - 2
GLE
48%
25%
28%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2005 |
NEW
5 - 0
INS
48%
25%
28%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Cliftonville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2005 |
DUN
1 - 0
CLI
63%
21%
16%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2005 |
CLI
0 - 1
LIM
42%
27%
31%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2005 |
CLI
2 - 2
LAR
59%
24%
17%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2005 |
COL
0 - 2
CLI
64%
21%
15%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2005 |
GLE
2 - 2
CLI
49%
26%
26%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |