Institute vs Bangor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
20.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
INS
1 - 1
LOU
70%
19%
11%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
DER
1 - 1
INS
27%
25%
48%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
INS
4 - 2
DON
65%
21%
14%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2013 |
GLE
4 - 1
INS
57%
21%
22%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
INS
5 - 1
CAR
48%
25%
27%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Bangor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2013 |
BAN
8 - 1
LCE
55%
22%
23%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
BAN
2 - 0
KNO
31%
25%
44%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
LOU
2 - 2
BAN
33%
24%
43%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
CAR
2 - 2
BAN
64%
20%
16%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2013 |
WAR
2 - 3
BAN
61%
20%
19%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | +2 |