Institute vs Bangor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
25.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
BAL
1 - 0
INS
51%
25%
24%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
CRU
4 - 1
INS
63%
20%
17%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
GLE
4 - 2
INS
70%
19%
11%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2009 |
NEW
2 - 1
INS
38%
27%
36%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
INS
3 - 0
DUN
50%
26%
24%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Bangor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
BAN
1 - 1
GLE
45%
25%
30%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
CLI
2 - 1
BAN
71%
19%
11%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
BAN
0 - 0
LIS
27%
25%
47%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2009 |
BAL
2 - 0
BAN
58%
24%
19%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
BAN
0 - 1
LIN
22%
23%
55%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | -1 |