Institute vs Ballyclare Comrades analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
7%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
31.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
INS
1 - 1
ARD
42%
24%
34%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
DUN
1 - 0
INS
58%
22%
20%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
INS
4 - 0
AUN
15%
19%
66%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | +2 |
| 30 Dec. 2022 |
DER
2 - 1
INS
33%
25%
42%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2022 |
INS
1 - 1
WAR
37%
26%
37%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ballyclare Comrades
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2023 |
LOU
2 - 1
BAL
67%
19%
14%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
BAL
1 - 2
KNO
65%
19%
16%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2023 |
BAL
2 - 2
AUN
23%
23%
55%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
HAR
5 - 1
BAL
41%
23%
36%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
BAL
0 - 4
DER
60%
21%
19%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -2 |