Institute vs Ballyclare Comrades analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.4%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
20.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
LOU
4 - 4
INS
23%
24%
53%
|
59 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
INS
4 - 0
DUN
42%
24%
35%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
INS
2 - 1
LIS
65%
20%
15%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
BAN
0 - 1
INS
48%
24%
28%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
INS
6 - 1
LAR
69%
19%
12%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Ballyclare Comrades
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
BAL
0 - 3
LIS
65%
19%
16%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2014 |
BAL
2 - 0
LOU
70%
18%
12%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2014 |
LAR
0 - 1
BAL
33%
24%
44%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
CRU
5 - 0
BAL
78%
14%
8%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
HAR
1 - 1
BAL
34%
24%
43%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |