Institute vs Armagh City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
25.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
AUN
2 - 2
INS
14%
19%
67%
|
54 | 34 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
INS
1 - 1
BAL
45%
25%
31%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
LOU
1 - 2
INS
24%
22%
54%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
HAR
0 - 2
INS
48%
24%
28%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
INS
0 - 1
WAR
32%
26%
42%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Armagh City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
ARC
2 - 2
HAR
42%
25%
33%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
ARC
1 - 3
LCE
51%
22%
27%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
KNO
1 - 1
ARC
50%
23%
27%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2016 |
WAR
1 - 1
ARC
69%
18%
13%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
ARC
1 - 0
LAR
37%
24%
39%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |