Institute vs Armagh City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
23.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2007 |
POR
2 - 1
INS
70%
18%
12%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
INS
0 - 1
LIN
21%
23%
56%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
CLI
2 - 0
INS
59%
24%
17%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
INS
3 - 1
CRU
34%
27%
39%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
GLE
3 - 0
INS
70%
18%
12%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Armagh City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2007 |
ARC
1 - 1
DON
53%
24%
23%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
LAR
0 - 2
ARC
40%
24%
36%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
ARC
4 - 1
LIS
18%
23%
60%
|
51 | 72 | 21 | +2 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
DUN
5 - 1
ARC
75%
16%
9%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
ARC
1 - 2
BAL
34%
26%
40%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |