Institute vs Armagh City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.9%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
31.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
OMA
0 - 1
INS
43%
24%
33%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2005 |
INS
0 - 3
LIM
42%
26%
32%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2005 |
CRU
1 - 0
INS
38%
26%
37%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2005 |
LIS
3 - 2
INS
61%
22%
17%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2005 |
INS
3 - 0
LOU
53%
24%
24%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Armagh City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2005 |
ARC
1 - 0
BMF
66%
20%
14%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
MOY
0 - 1
ARC
32%
27%
42%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2005 |
ARC
1 - 0
HAR
52%
24%
24%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2005 |
COA
1 - 2
ARC
43%
25%
32%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
BAL
1 - 2
ARC
27%
27%
46%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |