Institute vs Armagh City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
20.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2001 |
INS
7 - 0
BAL
70%
18%
12%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2001 |
DUN
1 - 2
INS
37%
26%
37%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2001 |
CAR
1 - 1
INS
30%
25%
45%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2001 |
INS
1 - 1
BAL
54%
23%
24%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2001 |
INS
5 - 1
BAN
59%
22%
18%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Armagh City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2001 |
ARC
2 - 2
BAL
71%
17%
12%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2001 |
DUN
4 - 2
ARC
42%
25%
33%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2001 |
ARC
3 - 0
CAR
69%
18%
13%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2001 |
BAN
0 - 0
ARC
41%
25%
34%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2001 |
LIS
1 - 2
ARC
68%
19%
13%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | +1 |