Northern Ireland Second Division Main Round 4

Institute vs Armagh City analysis

Institute Armagh City
56 ELO 51
2.3% Tilt -1.2%
2864º General ELO ranking 3659º
19º Country ELO ranking 23º
ELO win probability
58.7%
Institute
22.2%
Draw
19%
Armagh City

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.7%
Win probability
Institute
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
19%
Win probability
Armagh City
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Institute
-2%
-25%
Armagh City

ELO progression

Institute
Armagh City
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Institute
Institute
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Aug. 2000
LIM
Limavady
3 - 0
Institute
INS
45%
25%
30%
58 55 3 0
19 Aug. 2000
INS
Institute
1 - 2
Lisburn Distillery
LIS
57%
23%
20%
60 57 3 -2
12 Aug. 2000
BAL
Ballyclare Comrades
0 - 1
Institute
INS
46%
24%
30%
60 56 4 0

Matches

Armagh City
Armagh City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Aug. 2000
ARC
Armagh City
1 - 1
Dungannon Swifts
DUN
27%
26%
47%
51 63 12 0
19 Aug. 2000
BAN
Bangor
3 - 1
Armagh City
ARC
49%
24%
27%
53 51 2 -2
12 Aug. 2000
ARC
Armagh City
2 - 2
Larne
LAR
48%
24%
28%
54 53 1 -1