Ingolstadt 04 II vs Bayreuth SpVgg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.2%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
13%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ingolstadt 04 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2017 |
ING
0 - 2
BAY
42%
25%
33%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2017 |
ING
0 - 0
AUG
54%
22%
24%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
FCP
2 - 5
ING
13%
20%
68%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
ING
6 - 0
EIC
68%
18%
13%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
SCH
0 - 3
ING
43%
23%
34%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
BAY
3 - 0
SEL
36%
23%
41%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
ILL
2 - 2
BAY
72%
16%
11%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2017 |
MUN
3 - 0
BAY
73%
17%
9%
|
35 | 64 | 29 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
BAY
0 - 3
SCH
30%
24%
46%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | -2 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
ROS
1 - 0
BAY
53%
23%
24%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -1 |