Ingolstadt 04 II vs Bayreuth SpVgg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
48.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ingolstadt 04 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2008 |
MEM
1 - 0
ING
57%
22%
21%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2008 |
ING
0 - 0
BUC
40%
25%
36%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2008 |
FRO
4 - 1
ING
51%
23%
27%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2008 |
ING
3 - 2
WUR
62%
21%
18%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2008 |
ISM
6 - 2
ING
37%
25%
38%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2008 |
BAY
1 - 2
ERB
79%
14%
7%
|
41 | 21 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
MEM
3 - 1
BAY
29%
26%
46%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | -2 |
| 02 Aug. 2008 |
BAY
0 - 0
SEL
76%
15%
8%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2008 |
BUC
4 - 1
BAY
24%
24%
52%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | -2 |
| 26 Jul. 2008 |
BAY
4 - 0
TSG
66%
20%
14%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |