Inglaterra U21 vs Francia U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
30%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inglaterra U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2009 |
NOR
0 - 5
ENG
32%
26%
42%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2009 |
ECU
3 - 2
ENG
10%
18%
72%
|
79 | 12 | 67 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2008 |
ENG
2 - 0
CZE
69%
18%
13%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2008 |
ENG
2 - 2
WAL
76%
16%
8%
|
79 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2008 |
WAL
2 - 3
ENG
18%
24%
58%
|
79 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Francia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2009 |
FRA
3 - 0
EST
84%
13%
3%
|
82 | 31 | 51 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2009 |
TUN
1 - 1
FRA
7%
17%
75%
|
82 | 11 | 71 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2008 |
DEN
0 - 1
FRA
29%
26%
45%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2008 |
FRA
0 - 1
GER
50%
25%
25%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2008 |
GER
1 - 1
FRA
42%
26%
33%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |