Infesta vs Alpendorada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.4%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
8.6%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Infesta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
SOU
0 - 1
INF
63%
20%
17%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
INF
0 - 0
REB
53%
23%
24%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
VIL
2 - 0
INF
40%
24%
36%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
INF
2 - 0
GRI
45%
24%
31%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
SPO
0 - 3
INF
36%
24%
40%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Alpendorada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
ALP
1 - 2
SER
25%
23%
52%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
LAM
0 - 1
ALP
49%
23%
27%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
ALP
2 - 1
LEC
13%
22%
65%
|
16 | 53 | 37 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
VIL
4 - 0
ALP
72%
17%
11%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
ALP
1 - 2
CES
14%
20%
66%
|
17 | 37 | 20 | 0 |