Nacional B Bolivia - Apertura Quarter-finals
Global 4-3
Industrial Avilés vs Independiente Petrolero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.8%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.4%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.2%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
0
21.5%
69.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
19.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
28%
0-2
17%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
21.9%
0-3
10%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
-3
12.1%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Industrial Avilés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
GRC
2 - 4
INA
50%
21%
30%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
INA
2 - 0
GRC
39%
22%
39%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +2 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
INA
5 - 1
ROS
91%
7%
2%
|
36 | 13 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2018 |
ALE
2 - 3
INA
6%
12%
82%
|
36 | 12 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
INA
2 - 1
PET
15%
24%
61%
|
35 | 62 | 27 | +1 |
Matches
Independiente Petrolero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
IND
4 - 1
SUC
87%
11%
3%
|
70 | 34 | 36 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
SUC
1 - 0
IND
6%
19%
74%
|
70 | 32 | 38 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
IND
4 - 3
ALE
85%
11%
4%
|
70 | 11 | 59 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2018 |
PET
1 - 0
IND
32%
27%
41%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
IND
4 - 1
FEP
87%
11%
2%
|
70 | 20 | 50 | 0 |