Independiente vs Platense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.4%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
18.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1933 |
LAN
0 - 0
IND
29%
23%
48%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1933 |
IND
1 - 0
SLO
45%
24%
31%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1933 |
CHA
2 - 1
IND
45%
22%
33%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1933 |
BOC
2 - 0
IND
71%
16%
14%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 1933 |
IND
3 - 2
TAL
81%
12%
7%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Platense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1933 |
GLP
1 - 0
PLA
66%
17%
16%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1933 |
PLA
4 - 1
ARG
69%
17%
14%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1933 |
TIG
4 - 1
PLA
44%
23%
33%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 1933 |
PLA
2 - 2
VEL
46%
21%
33%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1933 |
EST
5 - 1
PLA
71%
15%
14%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |