Independiente vs Estudiantes La Plata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
15.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1978 |
COL
1 - 2
IND
52%
23%
25%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1978 |
IND
1 - 3
ARG
67%
19%
15%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1978 |
VEL
2 - 4
IND
47%
25%
28%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1978 |
IND
0 - 0
NOB
59%
22%
20%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1978 |
EST
0 - 4
IND
18%
25%
57%
|
83 | 60 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Estudiantes La Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1978 |
EST
1 - 2
COL
55%
24%
21%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1978 |
ARG
1 - 0
EST
46%
26%
28%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1978 |
EST
1 - 1
VEL
57%
24%
20%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1978 |
NOB
1 - 0
EST
58%
23%
19%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1978 |
EST
3 - 1
EST
74%
17%
9%
|
80 | 60 | 20 | 0 |