Independiente vs Lanús analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
31.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2017 |
CAU
0 - 3
IND
29%
27%
44%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
IND
1 - 1
OLI
59%
24%
17%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2017 |
DYJ
1 - 2
IND
34%
27%
39%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2017 |
BOC
3 - 0
IND
52%
25%
24%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2017 |
ALI
0 - 1
IND
29%
28%
44%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Lanús
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2017 |
LAN
2 - 0
HUR
60%
23%
17%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
NOB
1 - 1
LAN
33%
26%
40%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2017 |
LAN
5 - 1
SBA
82%
14%
4%
|
85 | 39 | 46 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
LAN
1 - 0
EST
48%
26%
26%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
ARS
0 - 2
LAN
26%
26%
48%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |