Independiente vs Boca Juniors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.3%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.2%
47.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2020 |
IND
1 - 3
LAN
40%
26%
34%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2020 |
HUR
3 - 2
IND
33%
28%
39%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2020 |
LAN
0 - 0
IND
43%
27%
30%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
IND
1 - 0
DYJ
44%
27%
30%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2020 |
IND
1 - 0
FEN
62%
22%
16%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2020 |
RAC
1 - 0
BOC
30%
27%
42%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
BOC
1 - 1
ARS
66%
21%
14%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2020 |
BOC
0 - 1
SCI
58%
24%
18%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2020 |
TAL
0 - 0
BOC
24%
25%
51%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2020 |
SCI
0 - 1
BOC
39%
27%
35%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |