Independiente Villa Obrera vs Sportivo Desamparados analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
43.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Villa Obrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
TRI
1 - 1
IND
28%
23%
49%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
IND
4 - 1
ATE
71%
17%
12%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
IND
3 - 0
GUT
36%
24%
40%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +2 |
| 28 Jan. 2015 |
GUT
6 - 0
IND
61%
20%
19%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -3 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
IND
0 - 0
ATL
52%
23%
26%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Sportivo Desamparados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2015 |
DES
0 - 0
TRI
81%
13%
7%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
IND
1 - 0
DES
31%
24%
46%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | -2 |
| 01 Dec. 2014 |
DES
3 - 1
ATE
80%
13%
7%
|
41 | 23 | 18 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
SPE
1 - 1
DES
29%
23%
48%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | -2 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
DES
1 - 0
SPO
78%
14%
8%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | +1 |