Independiente II vs Vélez Sarsfield II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
18.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2014 |
EST
0 - 3
IND
25%
23%
52%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
IND
0 - 2
ATR
76%
15%
9%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | -2 |
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
VEL
1 - 3
ARS
64%
20%
16%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2014 |
TIG
1 - 0
VEL
30%
24%
46%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2014 |
SLO
3 - 2
VEL
26%
25%
49%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
VEL
2 - 0
COL
73%
16%
11%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2014 |
VEL
1 - 2
TIG
76%
15%
9%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | -1 |