Independiente II vs Patronato II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.9%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.5%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
20.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
CHA
1 - 2
IND
8%
15%
77%
|
26 | 10 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2017 |
IND
0 - 0
VEL
57%
21%
22%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
GOC
0 - 2
IND
46%
23%
31%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
IND
1 - 2
LAN
46%
24%
30%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2017 |
OLI
1 - 2
IND
26%
23%
51%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Patronato II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2017 |
PAT
5 - 0
BOC
25%
23%
52%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2017 |
TAL
7 - 1
PAT
75%
15%
10%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
PAT
3 - 1
ATL
65%
19%
16%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2017 |
TIG
1 - 0
PAT
43%
23%
35%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
PAT
1 - 1
ARG
60%
21%
20%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |