Independiente Neuquén vs Villa Mitre Bahia Blanca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
25.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Neuquén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
DEP
2 - 1
INN
62%
21%
17%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
INN
3 - 1
DRO
45%
25%
30%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
INN
0 - 1
CIP
37%
26%
37%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
VIL
3 - 2
INN
50%
25%
25%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
INN
1 - 2
DEP
33%
25%
42%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Villa Mitre Bahia Blanca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 2
CIP
37%
28%
36%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
DEP
2 - 1
VIL
60%
22%
18%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
DRO
1 - 1
VIL
50%
24%
26%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
VIL
3 - 2
INN
50%
25%
25%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
CIP
2 - 3
VIL
65%
21%
15%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +1 |