Paraguay - Intermediate Division Normal Season Round 30

Independiente FBC vs Martín Ledesma analysis

Independiente FBC Martín Ledesma
68 ELO 64
-0.8% Tilt -3.7%
1677º General ELO ranking 21462º
20º Country ELO ranking 48º
ELO win probability
57.5%
Independiente FBC
24%
Draw
18.5%
Martín Ledesma

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.5%
Win probability
Independiente FBC
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
18.6%
Win probability
Martín Ledesma
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Independiente FBC
-8%
-8%
Martín Ledesma

Points and table prediction

Independiente FBC
Their league position
Martín Ledesma
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
15º
11º
36
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Deportivo Recoleta
65
65
100%
Atlético Tembetary
62
62
100%
Sportivo Carapeguá
58
58
100%
Sportivo San Lorenzo
46
46
100%
Resistencia
45
45
100%
Encarnacion
44
44
100%
Deportivo Santaní
42
42
100%
Rubio Ñu
42
42
100%
Guaireña
38
41
100%
Club 12 de Junio
10º
38
38
10º
100%
Independiente FBC
11º
38
38
11º
100%
Martín Ledesma
12º
36
36
12º
100%
Fernando de la Mora
13º
35
35
13º
100%
3 de Febrero
14º
29
29
14º
100%
Pastoreo
15º
23
23
15º
100%
CA Colegiales
16º
10
10
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
Independiente FBC
Martín Ledesma
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Independiente FBC
Martín Ledesma
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Independiente FBC
Independiente FBC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Oct. 2024
ENC
Encarnacion
2 - 2
Independiente FBC
IND
45%
28%
27%
70 70 0 0
28 Sep. 2024
IND
Independiente FBC
2 - 1
3 de Febrero
SAN
54%
25%
21%
69 64 5 +1
20 Sep. 2024
CAC
CA Colegiales
0 - 3
Independiente FBC
IND
32%
28%
41%
69 54 15 0
15 Sep. 2024
IND
Independiente FBC
1 - 0
Sportivo San Lorenzo
SPO
37%
28%
35%
69 73 4 0
10 Sep. 2024
IND
Independiente FBC
0 - 0
Sportivo Iteño
SPO
73%
17%
10%
69 53 16 0

Matches

Martín Ledesma
Martín Ledesma
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Oct. 2024
MAR
Martín Ledesma
1 - 2
Resistencia
RES
33%
28%
39%
63 68 5 0
28 Sep. 2024
RÑU
Rubio Ñu
3 - 1
Martín Ledesma
MAR
52%
25%
22%
64 67 3 -1
23 Sep. 2024
MAR
Martín Ledesma
0 - 0
Deportivo Santaní
SAN
34%
27%
39%
64 69 5 0
18 Sep. 2024
MAR
Martín Ledesma
0 - 1
Guaireña
GUA
28%
25%
47%
65 75 10 -1
13 Sep. 2024
CAR
Sportivo Carapeguá
1 - 0
Martín Ledesma
MAR
58%
25%
17%
66 72 6 -1