Incomáti vs Ferroviário Nampula analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.6%
29.6%
Draw
0-0
11.9%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.6%
31.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Incomáti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
TEX
1 - 0
IDX
22%
27%
51%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
IDX
1 - 1
FCC
38%
30%
33%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2019 |
IDX
2 - 1
DES
43%
30%
27%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
COS
4 - 1
IDX
62%
23%
14%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
IDX
1 - 0
VIL
42%
31%
28%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Ferroviário Nampula
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
FER
2 - 1
FEN
55%
26%
19%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
LIG
1 - 1
FER
49%
26%
24%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
FER
0 - 0
MAX
50%
27%
23%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2019 |
BDP
0 - 4
FER
43%
28%
29%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
FER
2 - 0
TEX
45%
27%
28%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +2 |