Incheon United vs Seoul E-Land FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.7%
21.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
1º
4º
1º
27
1º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
34 | 82 |
1º
|
55.5% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 76 |
2º
|
29.5% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 73 |
3º
|
24% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 67 |
4º
|
25.5% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 64 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
27 | 63 |
6º
|
24% | |
|
8º
|
15 | 52 |
7º
|
23% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 50 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 46 |
9º
|
18% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 45 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 40 |
11º
|
20.5% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 37 |
12º
|
29.5% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 30 |
13º
|
35.5% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 25 |
14º
|
60% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
55.5% | 1.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
43% | 31.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
1.5% | 67% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Incheon United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
SEO
2 - 1
INC
20%
26%
55%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
INC
2 - 0
SUW
33%
29%
39%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
INC
2 - 0
GYE
55%
25%
20%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
DAE
1 - 3
INC
45%
27%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
INC
1 - 2
DCI
35%
28%
37%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Seoul E-Land FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
ELA
4 - 2
SUW
24%
27%
49%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
ELA
1 - 1
CDR
38%
25%
37%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
ELA
2 - 1
KOR
43%
26%
32%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
JEO
2 - 1
ELA
59%
22%
20%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
ELA
1 - 2
JEO
33%
24%
43%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |