Incheon United vs Gwangju FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
35.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
6º
10º
6º
54
3º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
45 | 45 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Incheon United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
INC
0 - 0
JEO
34%
28%
38%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2023 |
JEJ
2 - 0
INC
43%
26%
31%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
INC
0 - 1
SUW
40%
28%
32%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
POH
0 - 2
INC
43%
27%
31%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +2 |
| 25 Apr. 2023 |
INC
0 - 1
ULS
34%
28%
39%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Gwangju FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
GWA
0 - 2
DAE
34%
26%
40%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2023 |
FCS
3 - 1
GWA
43%
26%
32%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
GWA
0 - 0
DCI
45%
26%
29%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
ULS
2 - 1
GWA
41%
26%
33%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
GWA
0 - 1
JEJ
39%
26%
35%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |