Incheon United vs Gwangju FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.6%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
27.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Incheon United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
CDR
0 - 0
INC
46%
27%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
INC
0 - 0
SEO
44%
27%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2012 |
INC
2 - 1
DAE
41%
27%
33%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 2
INC
47%
27%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
DCI
1 - 1
INC
46%
27%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Gwangju FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
GWA
2 - 3
SEO
50%
24%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 2
GWA
50%
24%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2012 |
GWA
1 - 1
DCI
47%
24%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2012 |
GAN
1 - 0
GWA
52%
23%
25%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
GWA
1 - 1
DAE
46%
24%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |