Înainte Modelu vs Amara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.6%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.1%
15.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
2º
8º
3º
7
9º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 45 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 31 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
30 | 30 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 29 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 28 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 25 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 24 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 15 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
7 | 7 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Înainte Modelu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
DUN
0 - 0
IMO
83%
11%
6%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
IMO
3 - 1
CSG
47%
21%
32%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
AFU
3 - 1
IMO
92%
7%
2%
|
24 | 51 | 27 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
IMO
2 - 2
GLO
29%
21%
50%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
IMO
1 - 2
DUN
21%
22%
57%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Amara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
AMA
0 - 3
FAC
17%
19%
63%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
VOL
1 - 1
AMA
67%
17%
16%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
DUN
9 - 0
AMA
87%
9%
4%
|
23 | 40 | 17 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
AMA
1 - 5
CSG
51%
21%
28%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
AFU
4 - 1
AMA
93%
6%
2%
|
24 | 52 | 28 | 0 |