Ilves vs HJK Helsinki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
30.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
1º
5º
2º
32
2º
11º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 47 |
1º
|
72% | |
|
|
3º
|
36 | 43 |
2º
|
46.5% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 41 |
3º
|
48% | |
|
|
4º
|
32 | 39 |
4º
|
49% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 38 |
5º
|
71% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 28 |
6º
|
41.5% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 28 |
7º
|
33% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 26 |
8º
|
52% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 21 |
9º
|
30% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 20 |
10º
|
24.5% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 19 |
11º
|
28.5% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 18 |
12º
|
45.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ilves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2025 |
ILV
4 - 0
GNI
57%
22%
22%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2025 |
ILV
3 - 0
OUL
64%
19%
17%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
ILV
0 - 4
INT
52%
23%
26%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
ILV
4 - 0
FFJ
71%
17%
12%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
ILV
1 - 0
VAA
52%
22%
26%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
HJK Helsinki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
HJK
4 - 4
INT
39%
24%
37%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
HJK
0 - 3
HIF
40%
25%
35%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
HJK
3 - 1
KUO
43%
25%
32%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2025 |
KOO
0 - 4
HJK
25%
22%
53%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
FLO
2 - 1
HJK
51%
23%
26%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |