Ilves vs HJK Helsinki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
30.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ilves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2025 |
ILV
4 - 0
GNI
57%
22%
22%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2025 |
ILV
3 - 0
OUL
64%
19%
17%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
ILV
0 - 4
INT
52%
23%
26%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
ILV
4 - 0
FFJ
71%
17%
12%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
ILV
1 - 0
VAA
52%
22%
26%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
HJK Helsinki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
HJK
4 - 4
INT
39%
24%
37%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
HJK
0 - 3
HIF
40%
25%
35%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
HJK
3 - 1
KUO
43%
25%
32%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2025 |
KOO
0 - 4
HJK
25%
22%
53%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
FLO
2 - 1
HJK
51%
23%
26%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |