Ilves II vs Honka Akatemia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.6%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
53%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
6º
12º
9º
32
1º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
32 | 32 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 18 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ilves II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
SEX
0 - 2
ILV
33%
21%
46%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
ILV
2 - 0
PIF
59%
19%
22%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
PII
2 - 0
ILV
66%
17%
16%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
ILV
0 - 1
EPF
25%
23%
52%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
FCJ
5 - 0
ILV
78%
13%
9%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Honka Akatemia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
HOA
0 - 1
EPF
41%
26%
34%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
HOA
3 - 4
GRI
48%
24%
29%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
TAM
2 - 2
HOA
33%
24%
43%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2023 |
HOA
0 - 2
ATL
44%
23%
33%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
IKI
3 - 1
HOA
39%
24%
38%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -1 |