Illzach Modenheim vs Thaon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
28.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Illzach Modenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2013 |
FOR
2 - 2
ILL
17%
19%
64%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
ILL
2 - 0
SAI
43%
25%
32%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +3 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
COL
6 - 1
ILL
48%
22%
30%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -3 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
ILL
2 - 0
FOR
75%
15%
10%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
ILL
3 - 2
JAR
52%
23%
25%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Thaon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2013 |
THA
1 - 0
STP
31%
25%
44%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
LUN
1 - 2
THA
49%
24%
27%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2013 |
THA
1 - 2
FOR
72%
17%
11%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
THA
1 - 0
RCE
36%
24%
40%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | +2 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
SAI
1 - 2
THA
56%
24%
20%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |