FC Mariupol vs Shakhtar Donetsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
59.7%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Mariupol
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
03 Apr. 2021 |
ILL
4 - 3
INH
50%
26%
25%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
20 Mar. 2021 |
ILL
0 - 0
MIN
60%
23%
18%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
14 Mar. 2021 |
ILL
1 - 4
KOL
44%
27%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
06 Mar. 2021 |
ILL
0 - 1
VOR
42%
27%
31%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
27 Feb. 2021 |
ILL
2 - 2
SKD
37%
25%
38%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Shakhtar Donetsk
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
04 Apr. 2021 |
VOR
0 - 2
SHA
20%
24%
56%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
21 Mar. 2021 |
LVI
3 - 2
SHA
8%
18%
75%
|
84 | 56 | 28 | 0 |
18 Mar. 2021 |
SHA
1 - 2
ROM
31%
24%
45%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
14 Mar. 2021 |
SHA
4 - 0
DES
56%
22%
22%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
11 Mar. 2021 |
ROM
3 - 0
SHA
65%
19%
17%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |